Demographic change: a strategic turning point for the Swiss real estate market

16.05.2025

Demographic change: a strategic turning point for the Swiss real estate market
The Swiss real estate market is entering a phase of profound change, driven by major demographic trends: an accelerating ageing population, increasing urbanization and changing lifestyles. These trends will have a major impact on supply, demand and investment strategies in the years ahead. For real estate professionals, it can be crucial to anticipate these changes in order to remain competitive.

Sustained demographic growth, but watch out

According to the Swiss Federal Statistical Office, Switzerland's population is set to pass the 10.5 million mark by 2055. However, some experts believe that growth could slow down as early as 2043, due to international competition for skilled labor and the overall aging of the population.
In the short to medium term, residential demand will remain dynamic, but we need to take into account the fact that trends will vary from region to region and from market segment to market segment.


An ageing population: a new deal for housing

An ageing population implies :

  • A growing demand for housing adapted to senior citizens (accessibility, safety, proximity to care).
  • A gradual transformation of the housing stock: single-family homes may be less in demand in the long term.
  • An opportunity for developers to develop mixed-use projects combining housing, medical services and local shops.
Anticipating these needs is becoming a key factor for real estate developers.


Urbanization: pressure concentrates on centers

Continued migration to large conurbations is increasing tension on urban markets.


The challenges :

  • Increased demand for compact, well-located housing.
  • The need to intensify densification while guaranteeing quality of life.
  • Continuing price rises in tight areas, increasing the challenges of affordability.
For investors and developers, positioning in urban centers or their immediate periphery remains strategic.


Changing household structures: towards more compact housing

The growing proportion of single-person households (young professionals, senior citizens living alone) has a direct impact on the type of demand:

  • Small apartments, optimized for urban living.
  • Co-living concepts on the rise.
  • Increasing trend towards renting rather than buying, especially among the younger generation.
Residential projects should take this trend into account to meet market expectations.


What impact will this have on prices and local markets?

  • In urban centers, price pressure and land scarcity are likely to continue, despite demographic trends.
  • In some outlying and rural areas, a gradual correction in prices is conceivable, linked to ageing and the exodus of younger generations.
Regional market segmentation may become even more pronounced. As a result, investment strategies will need to be fine-tuned and adapted to each context.


Opportunities for real estate professionals

  • Develop residential projects tailored to the needs of seniors.
  • Strengthen the supply of compact, modular housing for single-person households.
  • Enhance the value of quality rental properties in urban centers.
  • Integrate issues of soft mobility, proximity to services and functional mix into project design.


Conclusion

Demographic change is not a threat to the Swiss real estate market, but rather a structural transformation that must be anticipated in order to turn it into a lever for development.
Players who know how to adapt their offerings, segment their markets finely and anticipate new needs will have a decisive advantage in the years ahead.


Sources
swissinfo.ch - Article
propertyowner.ch - Article

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